The Coalition is pulling ahead in Victoria, polling at 29%, while One Nation is just two points behind Labor, nine months out from the November election.
Articles on Victorian politics
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Two state governments are up for re-election in Australia, while the US midterms offer an opportunity for the Democrats to take control of Congress.
The polling, conducted before the Bondi terror attack, sees Labor maintain its lead, including Anthony Albanese increasing his popularity as preferred prime minister.
While federal Labor remains well ahead of the competition, a poll modelling seat outcomes has Pauline Hanson’s party picking up a dozen in the lower house.
Federal Labor continues to poll strongly as the Coalition wrestles with climate policy. Meanwhile, Victorian Labor’s polling continues to be dire.
Pauline Hanson’s party continues gaining popularity in the polls - most at the Liberals’ expense.
The Coalition has also gained two points in the federal Resolve poll, although the picture isn’t as rosy for Sussan Ley’s net approval rating.
If current polling results hold, SA Labor will have the second largest landslide in a state or federal election in Australian history.
After an earlier surge in support, Victorian Labor has slumped again.
Trump’s ratings are worse than any other US president since Harry Truman – they only top his own ratings at this stage of his first term.
Polls in two states have seen Labor leaders close the popularity gap between them and the Liberals.
Victorians are not happy with the Allan Labor government. But they’re not wild about the alternative, either.
The Yoorrook Justice Commission reports are powerful and historic. But the question remains: will they change anything?
Amid global turmoil and with two weeks of the election campaign done, Labor is enjoying a bump in the polls.
The latest Newspoll continues the movement towards Labor, and while Anthony Albanese’s approval rating remains low he still leads as preferred prime minister.
With a five-week campaign ahead, the polls have swing back in favour of Labor - but it’s still very close.
Voters punished the Allan Labor government in Werribee, but did not fully embrace the Liberals, either.
According to the latest polls, if an election were held now, Labor would probably lose.
With voters still feeling the pinch from the cost of living crisis, the government in general and the prime minister in particular are dipping in the polls.
This is the second time the SA Labor government has gained a seat from the opposition at a byelection.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor in Politics and International Relations, School of Social Sciences, Monash University
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Professor (Practice), Faculty of Business and Economics, Monash University
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Emeritus Professor of Politics, Monash University
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Associate Professor, Faculty of Law, Monash University
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Emeritus Professor of Public Policy, RMIT University
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Emeritus Professor in Law and Criminal Justice, Adelaide University
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Professor of Law, Australian Centre for Health Law Research, Queensland University of Technology
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Swinburne University of Technology
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Professor of Employment Relations, School of Business and Law, CQUniversity Australia
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Associate professor, Queensland University of Technology
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Senior Lecturer, Justice and Legal Studies, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Researcher, Swinburne Institute for Social Research, Swinburne University of Technology
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Distinguished Professor, Professor of End-of-Life Law and Regulation, Australian Centre for Health Law Research, Queensland University of Technology
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Professor of Family and Sexual Violence, RMIT University