In other polls, Victoria appears set for a change of government in its November state election.
Articles on Redbridge poll
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This is Labor’s second lowest ever primary vote in Newspoll, which they had last equalled in April 2012 when Julia Gillard was prime minister.
The gain means Labor’s two-party vote against One Nation would likely drop.
In the immediate aftermath of Labor’s leadership spill, new polls bring better news for the struggling Coalition.
With a state election set for late November, a new poll has One Nation ahead of the two major parties.
Support for Labor and the Greens combined is up five points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 44% in Redbridge.
Both Redbridge and YouGov polls have Pauline Hanson’s party ahead of the government, before preferences.
A Redbridge MRP poll has Labor winning 76 seats. The Coalition would secure just 12 seats in the House of Representatives compared to One Nation’s 53.
The moderate Liberal, who lost his seat last year, said his party was now ‘fighting for its existence’ – and can’t ignore the need to work with One Nation.
Applying 2025 election preference flows would give Labor below a 51–49 lead over the Coalition, their worst result since their re-election in 2025.
Opposition to the Iran war is very strong in Australia, but so far the government has not been damaged by it in the polls.
On current polling, the Coalition would struggle to win ten of the 150 House of Representatives seats.
The polling, conducted before the Bondi terror attack, sees Labor maintain its lead, including Anthony Albanese increasing his popularity as preferred prime minister.
The US president’s net approval has recovered slightly from the November low.
Pauline Hanson’s party continues gaining popularity in the polls - most at the Liberals’ expense.
After an earlier surge in support, Victorian Labor has slumped again.
One Nation’s surge into the double digits in three separate polls comes at the expense of the Coalition.
Victorians are not happy with the Allan Labor government. But they’re not wild about the alternative, either.
YouGov’s central forecast is Labor winning 84 of the 150 lower house seats for an 18-seat majority.
With just five full days left until the May 3 election and early voting in progress, Labor remains the favourite to win, according to the polls.
