In other polls, Victoria appears set for a change of government in its November state election.
Articles on Essential poll
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Recent polls carry good news and bad news for all parties – and their leaders.
With a new premier in Ben Carroll, Labor’s chances of winning the November election are likely to improve.
Three new federal polls since Monday produce a mixed bag of results for One Nation, but all good news for the government.
A Redbridge MRP poll has Labor winning 76 seats. The Coalition would secure just 12 seats in the House of Representatives compared to One Nation’s 53.
The president’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.
The DemosAU MRP poll projects outcomes for every lower house seat. It forecasts great news for One Nation and catastrophically bad news for the Coalition.
While Morgan and YouGov polls put Labor well ahead of the Coalition after preferences, Essential puts the Coalition ahead for the first time since the 2025 election.
Five federal polls have been released in the past week, painting a rosy picture for Pauline Hanson’s party.
The polling, conducted before the Bondi terror attack, sees Labor maintain its lead, including Anthony Albanese increasing his popularity as preferred prime minister.
The US president’s net approval has recovered slightly from the November low.
The Coalition’s primary vote fell to 24%, just nine points higher than One Nation. One Nation could be on track to overtake the Coalition as the main right-wing party.
The latest federal opinion polling has put Labor clearly ahead of the struggling Liberals. Support for One Nation is stronger than for the Greens in some results.
Compared to other US presidents at the same point in their term, Trump’s ratings are only better than … his own.
The count in the Tasmanian election is over, with voters delivering a hung parliament with largely the same make-up as the last, albeit with some new characters.
Almost all the lower house seats have been decided- but some will go for a recount.
With just days to go until the election, four polls have the Labor party ahead on a two-party preferred basis.
Mid-way through the election campaign, the Labor leader’s popularity has also surged.
While the polls remain tight, Labor is ahead after the first week of campaigning.
The latest Morgan poll will be heartening for the government ahead of a federal election - but it may be a pro-Labor outlier.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Pro Vice Chancellor Research, Western Sydney University
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Emeritus Professor of Sociology, University of Technology Sydney
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Researcher, Challenging Racism Project and Diversity and Human Rights Research Centre, Western Sydney University