Now that President Biden has pulled out of the race, let’s look at the numbers we have for a Harris vs Trump contest.
Articles on Ipsos poll
Displaying all articles
While none of the major polls were entirely accurate, Resolve was closest to the mark; meanwhile, seat polls continue to be highly inaccurate.
The final polls ahead of the federal election on May 21 give Labor a 53-47 two-party preferred leave - if that is repeated on May 21, Labor will win government.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The opposition has increased its winning margins in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll, as Morrison and Albanese clashed in a shouty, fractious debate on Sunday night
Labor’s two-party lead has been cut back slightly, to 54-46%, and its primary vote has fallen in the post-budget Newspoll. But Anthony Albanese would have a strong win if the latest poll were reproduced at the election.
Despite a week of heated debate over the medevac legilation, the latest polls continue to show Labor with an election-winning lead.
