{"id":59948,"date":"2021-10-22T02:24:29","date_gmt":"2021-10-22T06:24:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/world.edu\/?p=59948"},"modified":"2021-10-22T02:24:29","modified_gmt":"2021-10-22T06:24:29","slug":"as-international-students-start-trickling-back-the-new-year-will-be-crunch-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/world.edu\/as-international-students-start-trickling-back-the-new-year-will-be-crunch-time\/","title":{"rendered":"As international students start trickling back, the new year will be crunch time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/intstudentreturn.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"680\" height=\"382\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-59949\" srcset=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/intstudentreturn.jpeg 680w, https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/intstudentreturn-250x140.jpeg 250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><br \/>\nIt\u2019s looking much more likely that international students will be able to return for the first semester next year, with international travel for Australians opening up from November 1.<\/p>\n<p>From that date, there will be\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2021\/oct\/15\/nsw-to-end-all-quarantine-home-hotel-for-fully-vaccinated-international-arrivals-travel-travellers\">no cap on the number<\/a>\u00a0of fully vaccinated citizens and permanent residents able to fly into New South Wales. In response to NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/national\/nsw\/regional-travel-delayed-in-nsw-until-november-20211015-p5907u.html\">announcement<\/a>\u00a0last Friday, Prime Minister Scott Morrison also\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/press-conference-kirribilli-nsw-9\">confirmed<\/a>\u00a0fully vaccinated travellers won\u2019t have to go into quarantine in NSW.<\/p>\n<p>This is an important moment in the transition to COVID-normal. One by one other states will follow NSW\u2019s lead. Victoria is likely to be the next cab off the rank.<\/p>\n<p>NSW is keen for inbound travel to resume also for international students and tourists. However, the Commonwealth has adopted a staged approach. As Morrison\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pm.gov.au\/media\/press-conference-kirribilli-nsw-9\">explained<\/a>\u00a0on Friday:<br \/>\n<em>\u201cIn the first instance, it will be for Australians, Australian residents and their families. We\u2019ll see how that goes and then we\u2019ll move to the other priorities, which I\u2019ve already set out as being skilled migration, as well as students to Australia.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\nTo date, only small numbers of students have been able to apply for a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/covid19.homeaffairs.gov.au\/travel-restrictions\">travel exemption<\/a>\u00a0to enter the country. They include research students with Australian government funding and medical, dental, nursing or allied health students who will undertake work placements, and secondary school students in years 11 and 12.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Visabycategory.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"680\" height=\"581\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-59951\" srcset=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Visabycategory.jpg 680w, https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Visabycategory-250x214.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/><\/p>\n<h4><strong>What are the plans for students?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Some other students may soon be able to enter under plans for international student arrivals agreed to by the Commonwealth and the relevant state or territory.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-government-keeps-shelving-plans-to-bring-international-students-back-to-australia-it-owes-them-an-explanation-158778\">Numerous pilot plans<\/a>\u00a0have been announced and later abandoned over the past year.<\/p>\n<p>Only\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/covid19.homeaffairs.gov.au\/international-student-arrival-plans\">one plan is currently in place<\/a>, and it is yet to begin. This plan will allow up to 250 international students studying with NSW education providers to return each fortnight from early December 2021.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au\/international-student-arrivals-plan\">Victoria\u2019s recent proposal<\/a>\u00a0will at first allow 120 currently enrolled students nominated by universities to enter the state each week. Numbers are to be expanded to more students and other providers over time.<\/p>\n<p>These proposal require students to quarantine for two weeks, with universities to cover the bulk of the A$5,000 price tag per student. If implemented, these plans would allow for only about 1,500 additional students to arrive in NSW and about 2,100 in Victoria before first semester. But these small-scale plans are likely to be short-lived, and will soon give way to less complicated and costly arrangements for incoming students.<\/p>\n<p>Requiring fully vaccinated international students to quarantine for two weeks makes little sense once fully vaccinated Australians entering from the same countries no longer need to quarantine. International students pose no more risk than returning Australians.<\/p>\n<p>The scale of international student arrivals will grow steadily once borders begin to open. When states and territories reach the 80% double vaccination rate they will open to returning Australians as the priority. It\u2019s likely be expressed as \u201cgetting Aussies home for Christmas\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The next step will be to open up to migrants and international students. With campuses closed over the summer, most international students would be happy to wait to travel in January and February as long as there is certainty that borders will be open and flights will be available.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>How many returning students can we expect?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The shift away from hotel quarantine removes the major constraint of hotel capacity. The limiting factor on the number of returning students will be the availability of international flights in early 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Currently,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2021\/sep\/21\/more-than-45000-australians-stranded-overseas-registered-for-government-help\">over 45,000 Australians overseas<\/a>\u00a0have\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.smartraveller.gov.au\/COVID-19\/trying-get-home\/COVID-19-registration\">registered<\/a>\u00a0with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade for assistance to return to Australia. About 146,000 international students, across all levels of study, have visas to enter Australia but haven\u2019t been able to enter the country. (Nearly\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dese.gov.au\/international-education\/data-and-research\/data-visualisations-set-2\">264,000 international students<\/a>\u00a0are still in Australia \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.homeaffairs.gov.au\/research-and-statistics\/statistics\/visa-statistics\/study\">less than half as many<\/a>\u00a0as two years ago.)<\/p>\n<p>The majority of the students stuck offshore are in China, for two reasons. Flights from China were stopped early in 2020 before other countries were affected, and Chinese students have been more willing than others to begin their studies online.<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/INSTUDENTBYCOUNRY-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"680\" height=\"581\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-59952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/INSTUDENTBYCOUNRY-1.jpg 680w, https:\/\/world.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/INSTUDENTBYCOUNRY-1-250x214.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px\" \/>national students<\/p>\n<p>We can expect to see a flurry of new students applying as soon as it is clear the border is open to them. And many Australians will be taking advantage of their newfound travel freedom over the summer and will also be wanting return flights.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>So can we manage that many arrivals?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The big question now is will there be enough inbound flights for all these returning Australians and international students over the summer? In pre-COVID times, this would have been a walk in the park. There were\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bitre.gov.au\/publications\/ongoing\/international_airline_activity-time_series\">21.3 million international arrivals<\/a>\u00a0in Australia in 2019, or around 1.8 million inbound passengers per month.<\/p>\n<p>It will take a long time to reach those numbers again, but the key point is that airlines have ample capacity to allow Australians to travel over the summer and students to arrive on campus in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Airlines are keen to resume flying, students are keen to get onto campus next semester and our cities are keen to get international students back. International education will play a big part in our recovery in 2022. We are just waiting on governments to commit to a timeline for reopening so we can all start making plans.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Author Bio:<\/strong> Christopher Ziguras is Professor of Global Studies at RMIT University<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s looking much more likely that international students will be able to return for the first semester next year, with international travel for Australians opening up from November 1. From that date, there will be\u00a0no cap on the number\u00a0of fully vaccinated citizens and permanent residents able to fly into New South Wales. In response to [&hellip;]\n&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/as-international-students-start-trickling-back-the-new-year-will-be-crunch-time\/\" class=\"more\">learn more&rarr;<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[575],"coauthors":[11733],"class_list":["post-59948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-higher-education","tag-international-students"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>As international students start trickling back, the new year will be crunch time - World leading higher education information and services<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/world.edu\/as-international-students-start-trickling-back-the-new-year-will-be-crunch-time\/\" class=\"yoast-seo-meta-tag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" class=\"yoast-seo-meta-tag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" class=\"yoast-seo-meta-tag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"As international students start trickling back, the new year will be crunch time - World leading higher education information and services\" class=\"yoast-seo-meta-tag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It\u2019s looking much more likely that international students will be able to return for the first semester next year, with international travel for Australians opening up from November 1. 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