War has shifted how power works in Iran
Most factions are looking for a negotiated settlement. But there are still powerful people who oppose a deal at any cost.
Most factions are looking for a negotiated settlement. But there are still powerful people who oppose a deal at any cost.
Washington has promised to unleash “economic D-Day” on Tehran and its allies. But Iran has lived through US sanctions for nearly 50 years.
Volodymyr Zelensky and Benjamin Netanyahu met with the US president on the sidelines of Lindsey Graham’s funeral.
Military might is not enough to win a war when the objectives aren’t clear.
Closing down oil wells can cause long-term damage, which is difficult to reverse.
As ever, a lot will depend on the mood of the US president, Donald Trump.
The Russian leader will be angry at the assault on a Russian ally, but American involvement in a conflict in the Middle East for now will play to his advantage in Ukraine.
The US president does not have a convincing story to tell about the Iran confict.
Plants that convert seawater to drinking water are at the heart of major cities in the Gulf. But they are increasingly becoming military targets.
The two wars are forcing the EU to take a more assertive role in defence and security affairs, leading to arguments between senior officials.