If COVID-19 becomes endemic, we’ll see multiple local outbreaks. Schools and businesses will close for days because too many people are sick. Local hospitals will be overwhelmed without warning.
Articles on New Zealand's elimination strategy
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Daily case numbers are trending down and the reproductive number is about 0.4, close to what it was the last time New Zealand was under the strictest lockdown. It shows the restrictions are working.
The challenges of containing inevitable outbreaks once borders reopen should not be underestimated. That’s why elimination remains the guiding principle and mass vaccination the imperative.
Top contributors
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Professor in Applied Mathematics, University of Canterbury
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Adjunct professor, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University
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Professor of Epidemiology, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Director of the Malaghan Institute of Medical Research, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington