Now that President Biden has pulled out of the race, let’s look at the numbers we have for a Harris vs Trump contest.
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If elected, Biden would be the oldest person to occupy the White House. But he’s by far the most popular candidate the Democrats have.
At every midterm election since 2006, the non-presidential party has easily won control of the House. It will be difficult for Democrats to defy this history.
When political polls are aggregated together, that can make the results misleading.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Director of the Bioinformatics Research Center, North Carolina State University
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Teaching Fellow in US politics and international security, University of Portsmouth