The decision to remove the testing requirement for international arrivals seems shortsighted. All outbreaks in Aotearoa have been caused by new variants coming across the border.
Articles on COVID-19 protection framework
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New Zealand has managed to stamp out onward transmission of the Delta variant, which means it’s not dealing with a “double epidemic” and has a better chance to tackle Omicron’s spread.
Vaccine passes are easy to fake. Unless venues and businesses make sure to verify them and check the identity of the pass holder, COVID will likely continue to spread.
Vaccination and testing requirements will limit the number of infected people leaving Auckland, but cases are likely to spread across the country as people travel in the lead-up to the holiday season.
A model of a “virtual” Aotearoa shows even a few new connections will lead to a complex web of transmission which could fuel the spread of the Delta outbreak.
Top contributors
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Te Pūnaha Matatini Post-Doctoral Research Fellow, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Project Lead - COVID Modeling Aotearoa; Senior Lecturer - Department of Physics, University of Auckland; Principal Investigator - Te Pūnaha Matatini, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Project Lead - COVID Modelling Aotearoa; Senior Researcher - ME Research; Principal Investigator - Te Pūnaha Matatini, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Senior Lecturer in Epidemiology, University of Canterbury
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Senior Lecturer, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Associate Professor, University of Canterbury
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Honorary Associate Professor, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Professor in Applied Mathematics, University of Canterbury
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Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Research Fellow at Koi Tū: The Centre for Informed Futures, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Researcher and lecturer in Spatial Data Science, University of Canterbury