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People gather at McGillin’s Olde Ale House in Philadelphia as election results trickle in. Ed Jones/AFP via Getty Images

November 7, 2024

How Trump won Pennsylvania − and what the numbers from key counties show about the future of a pivotal swing state

Daniel J. Mallinson, Penn State

Philly turnout underwhelms, steel country sides with Trump, and Erie County keeps its bellwether status.

A statue of Eric Morcambe in the bellwether seat of Morecambe and Lunesdale. Shutterstock/Lachlan1

June 25, 2024

Election 2024: these are the races to watch

Oliver Heath, Royal Holloway, University of London and Humphrey Southall, University of Portsmouth

Where are the ultra marginal seats in this election?

Long before the election was called, Labor leader Bill Shorten was in Eden-Monaro talking about the cost of living. Andrew Taylor/AAP

June 13, 2016

State of the states: New South Wales and the issues resounding in bellwether seats

Gregory Melleuish, University of Wollongong

Superannuation, health and child care are among the issues that are likely to matter most to voters in the bellwether NSW seats of Eden-Monaro, Robertson and Lindsay.

Top contributors

Gregory Melleuish
Professor of History and Politics, School of Humanities and Social Inquiry, University of Wollongong
Humphrey Southall
Professor of Historical Geography, University of Portsmouth
Oliver Heath
Professor of Politics, Royal Holloway, University of London
Daniel J. Mallinson
Associate Professor of Public Policy and Administration, Penn State

Articles on bellwether

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