Normally stock markets tell us a lot about the economy. In 2020 that’s no longer the case.
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Shutting down the stock market would be like closing our eyes and shooting the messenger.
The Conversation’s 2020 economic survey points to a dismal year, with no progress on many of the key measures that matter for Australians and an increase in the unemployment rate.
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.



